Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e65…b28b crypto 1355 markets active 14h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (116 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,322 (-4%) realized −$2,322 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate85%1260W / 231L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day115.6pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,379
7 days−$2,298
14 days−$2,366
30 days−$3,358
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% −$270
other 26% −$762
weather 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (116 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -75.0% -77.4% 16% 4% -67.9%
≤30d 1491 -9.9% -18.5% 85% 6% -14.7%
≤90d 1491 -9.9% -18.5% 85% 6% -14.7%
all 1491 -9.9% -18.5% 85% 6% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 6% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 0% -22.8%
15% -33.4% 0% -30.3%
20% -39.9% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$27 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,322
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1260 / 231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1491 / 1355
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$42
Trades / day115.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1491 Trades
no open positions (232 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$18 -88%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $47 −$46 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $76 −$62 -81%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$58 -93%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +138%
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$25 -114%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$23 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on May 28? Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-26? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$15 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $16 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $29 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $16 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $61 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $23 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $22 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $27 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $35 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $23 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $29 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records