Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e59…20ba crypto 402 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2177 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$522 (+3%) realized +$522 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate34%137W / 265L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day2177.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2177 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 402 +0.8% -8.8% 34% 8% -10.2%
≤90d 402 +0.8% -8.8% 34% 8% -10.2%
all 402 +0.8% -8.8% 34% 8% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2177.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 8% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 4% -18.8%
15% -25.5% 2% -26.7%
20% -32.8% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.28 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$522
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses137 / 265
Open positions0
Markets (closed)402 / 402
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$42
Trades / day2177.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 402 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $40 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $75 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $64 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $64 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $75 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $77 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $22 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $55 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $68 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $48 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $71 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $65 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $77 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $27 −$7 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $73 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $77 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $56 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $74 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $78 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $75 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $44 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $64 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $34 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $80 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $17 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $75 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $32 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records