Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T02:30:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e59…8ce1 crypto 32 markets active 20d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (300 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$43 (-3%) realized −$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate34%11W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day300.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (300 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 32 -5.0% -14.0% 34% 9% -14.6%
≤90d 32 -5.0% -14.0% 34% 9% -14.6%
all 32 -5.0% -14.0% 34% 9% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover300.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 9% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 3% -22.8%
15% -29.8% 0% -30.2%
20% -36.6% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.19 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses11 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day300.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 32 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $64 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $69 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $39 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $63 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $54 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $97 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $33 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $159 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $35 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $77 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $73 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $84 −$21 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $96 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $102 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $35 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 338 history records