Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T13:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
0E 0x0e55…5837 crypto 930 markets active 2h ago coverage 141d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$398 (+0%) realized +$397 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%925W / 4L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$165per market
Trades / day13.6pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$1,027now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$14
14 days+$36
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$331
other 10% +$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 27 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 425 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 929 -0.2% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.2% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×40.12 per $1 lost it wins $40.12
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

141d coverage
Net worth$1,027
Realized+$397
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses925 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)929 / 930
History coverage141d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 929 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 19? Down 100¢ 100¢ $1,026 $1,027 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET Jun 27 $1,092 +$2 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $280 +$6 +2%
Solana Up or Down on June 25? Jun 25 $1,092 +$1 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 24 $191 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 24 $121 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET Jun 23 $1,092 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 22 $974 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 22 $974 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Jun 22 $841 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $811 +$1 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $909 +$2 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $1,008 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1,006 +$10 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 18? Jun 12 $1,184 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $1,070 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down on May 19? Jun 08 $1,180 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down on May 18? Jun 08 $1,188 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Jun 02 $841 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET Jun 01 $332 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down on May 18? Jun 01 $1,188 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down on May 31? Jun 01 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on May 31? Jun 01 $150 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down on May 19? May 31 $614 +$1 +0%
BNB Up or Down on May 18? May 31 $1,110 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30? May 30 $551 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19? May 29 $1,180 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET May 27 $147 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET May 24 $533 +$5 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 21? May 23 $150 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET May 23 $539 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $578 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down on May 19? May 22 $1,180 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? May 22 $1,180 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? May 20 $1,188 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET May 18 $1,188 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down on May 17? May 17 $786 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? May 17 $1,187 +$1 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET May 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11AM ET May 17 $42 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET May 17 $1,186 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET May 17 $305 +$4 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET May 17 $1,186 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 16? May 16 $47 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 13 $149 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 13 $8 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 12 $184 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? May 11 $460 +$2 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 11 $314 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 11 $150 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1,092 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $280 25h
Solana Up or Down on June 25? BUY Down 100¢ $793 41h
Solana Up or Down on June 25? BUY Down 100¢ $37 44h
Solana Up or Down on June 25? BUY Down 100¢ $6 45h
Solana Up or Down on June 25? BUY Down 100¢ $100 45h
Solana Up or Down on June 25? BUY Down 100¢ $156 45h
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $185 3d
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $120 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1,092 3d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? BUY Down 100¢ $811 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 19? BUY Down 100¢ $999 8d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $909 9d
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $973 9d
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,008 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,006 12d
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $841 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $964 15d
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 18? BUY Down 100¢ $20 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $871 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $47 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $52 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 16d
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 16d
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 16d
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 19? BUY Down 100¢ $5 17d
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 18? BUY Down 100¢ $23 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,026.70 · official $1,026.70 (match) · 3225 history records