trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 25% | 6% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 25% | 6% | -10.4% |
| all | 27 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 33% | 4% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 4% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $28 | −$1 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 16 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $36 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $24 | −$2 | -9% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $3 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 15 | $5 | −$2 | -47% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 27 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | May 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polis | May 16 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 15 | $13 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |