Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:02:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
0E 0x0e43…9296 crypto 1624 markets active 1h ago coverage 75d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$10 (+0%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1614W / 10L
Drawdown74%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day21.6pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$6
other 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 160 -0.0% -9.5% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1624 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.3%
all 1624 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.37 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

75d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1614 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1624 / 1624
History coverage75d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day21.6
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1624 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3240 history records