Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e32…ac88
crypto · 56 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$221 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$139 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$245
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses27 / 27
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions2
Markets (closed)54 / 56
History coverage8d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$279
7 days+$279
14 days−$139
30 days−$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals Yes 30¢ 30¢ $125 $127 +$2 (+2%)
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals Yes 31¢ 31¢ $118 $118 +$0 (+0%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 41¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Wanted Goons 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $207 $0 −$207 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 41¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Yes 44¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals Yes 30¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $152 +$96 +63%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $97 +$55 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $209 −$207 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $76 −$37 -48%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $393 +$79 +20%
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Jun 14 $122 −$120 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$54 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $122 +$97 +80%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $133 −$130 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$57 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $120 +$129 +107%
Raphinha: 1+ goals Jun 13 $47 −$46 -98%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 13 $51 −$4 -8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $57 −$56 -98%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $315 +$216 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$42 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$53 +76%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$71 +126%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $75 +$3 +4%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $76 −$36 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$84 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$118 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Jun 07 $106 −$100 -95%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $794 −$676 -85%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $107 −$105 -98%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $360 +$125 +35%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $121 +$54 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 07 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 07 $56 +$28 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $37 +$38 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $102 +$46 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 07 $103 +$68 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 07 $102 +$42 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 07 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $25 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 39% −$392
other 31% −$6
crypto 30% +$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 31¢ $12 59m
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals BUY Yes 30¢ $128 1h
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals BUY Yes 31¢ $108 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $248 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $152 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $152 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 63¢ $97 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $209 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 32¢ $39 17h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 60¢ $76 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $246 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $158 19h
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 44¢ $122 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $157 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $226 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $235 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 20h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $219 20h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $133 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $122 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $248 21h
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY Yes 30¢ $47 22h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals SELL Yes 28¢ $47 22h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 41¢ $57 22h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 29¢ $51 22h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $120 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 45% -0.5%
≤30d 54 -9.9% -18.4% 50% 46% -11.8%
≤90d 54 -9.9% -18.4% 50% 46% -11.8%
all 54 -9.9% -18.4% 50% 46% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 46% -11.8%
10% -26.3% 43% -20.2%
15% -33.4% 41% -27.9%
20% -39.9% 31% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $245.11 · official $245.11 (match) · 106 history records