trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 60% | 0% | -26.5% |
| all | 13 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 31% | 0% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.0% | 0% | -24.7% |
| 10% | -30.4% | 0% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -37.1% | 0% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -43.3% | 0% | -44.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $228 | −$78 | -34% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Mar 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $12 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 03 | $18 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 01 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 28 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 28 | $8 | −$4 | -43% |