trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 50% | 50% | +23.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.3% | 50% | +23.0% |
| 10% | -9.9% | 50% | +11.2% |
| 15% | -18.6% | 50% | +0.5% |
| 20% | -26.6% | 43% | -9.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $320 | $320 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $280 | $280 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $210 | $210 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 21 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 21 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 21 | $410 | $0 | -0% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Oct 20 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Oct 20 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |
| Oilers vs. Rangers | Oct 16 | $10 | +$8 | +75% |
| Pirates vs. Reds | Sep 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. White Sox | Sep 23 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| Commanders vs. Packers | Sep 15 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |
| Rangers vs. Diamondbacks | Sep 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 26 | $37 | +$26 | +71% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 20 | $25 | +$12 | +49% |
| Marlins vs. Guardians | Aug 13 | $14 | +$11 | +75% |
| Braves vs. Reds | Aug 05 | $6 | +$4 | +70% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Dec 20 | $116 | +$103 | +89% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Dec 02 | $441 | +$180 | +41% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Nov 30 | $208 | +$192 | +92% |
| Knicks vs. Mavericks | Nov 28 | $92 | +$138 | +150% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Nov 27 | $68 | +$37 | +54% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Nov 26 | $34 | +$40 | +117% |