trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 50% | 38% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -34.1% | -40.3% | 40% | 33% | -29.1% |
| all | 41 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 41% | 39% | -25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.6% | 39% | -25.9% |
| 10% | -37.2% | 39% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -43.3% | 32% | -39.4% |
| 20% | -48.9% | 29% | -45.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 6¢ | $4 | $1 | −$3 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 20 | $5 | +$7 | +129% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 10 | $6 | +$5 | +73% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 10 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | May 07 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves | Apr 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals | Apr 05 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| Chiefs vs. Bills | Mar 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Mar 28 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Chiefs | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Mar 28 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Nov 02 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Commanders vs. Chiefs | Oct 28 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 15 | $10 | +$6 | +64% |
| Ravens vs. Chiefs | Sep 29 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |
| Chiefs vs. Giants | Sep 23 | $16 | +$6 | +37% |
| Chiefs vs. Chargers | Sep 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Royals | Sep 06 | $6 | +$4 | +82% |
| Mets vs. Royals | Jul 14 | $6 | +$1 | +27% |
| Royals vs. White Sox | Jul 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Royals vs. Cardinals | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Royals | Jun 07 | $10 | −$4 | -36% |
| Tigers vs. Royals | Jun 01 | $4 | +$6 | +156% |
| Tigers vs. Royals | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Reds vs. Royals | May 29 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Reds vs. Royals | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Reds vs. Royals | May 27 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Royals vs. Twins | May 26 | $5 | +$10 | +203% |
| Royals vs. Twins | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | May 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Chiefs | Jan 27 | $9 | +$6 | +63% |