Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e1b…ecaf
sports · 78 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,115 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,698 · open −$419
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,414
Realized−$8,698
Unrealized−$419
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses33 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)31%
Est. fees paid−$1,397
Open positions15
Markets (closed)64 / 78
History coverage19d
Avg bet$1,080
Trades / day157.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,067
7 days−$9,067
14 days−$8,264
30 days−$8,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 23¢ 100¢ $568 $2,473 +$1,905 (+335%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 34¢ 100¢ $640 $1,864 +$1,224 (+191%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 100¢ $586 $728 +$142 (+24%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 59¢ 100¢ $145 $243 +$98 (+68%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs fnatic 81¢ 100¢ $170 $210 +$40 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 42¢ 44¢ $174 $186 +$12 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 52¢ 74¢ $114 $164 +$49 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 28¢ 33¢ $122 $141 +$19 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Esport Academy Copenhagen 44¢ 22¢ $242 $120 −$122 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 39¢ 24¢ $189 $118 −$70 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 24¢ 26¢ $105 $113 +$8 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 79¢ 67¢ $31 $26 −$5 (-16%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 80¢ 100¢ $11 $13 +$3 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Metizport 66¢ 78¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 14¢ 0¢ $101 $4 −$97 (-96%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 18¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner HEROIC Academy 50¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 25¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 32¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 33¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $721 +$860 +119%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $601 +$1,560 +260%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $537 +$721 +134%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $842 +$759 +90%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $279 +$161 +58%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $265 −$260 -98%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $289 −$258 -89%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $58 −$6 -10%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $333 +$246 +74%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $23 −$15 -68%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $115 −$107 -93%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $267 −$233 -87%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,445 +$329 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $367 +$309 +84%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $633 +$233 +37%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $27 +$11 +41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $431 +$788 +183%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $579 +$570 +98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $360 −$355 -99%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $172 +$51 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $529 +$529 +100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $685 −$569 -83%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $129 +$30 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $195 +$368 +189%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $122 +$42 +34%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $576 +$221 +38%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $338 −$338 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $327 −$327 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $667 −$667 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1,064 −$1,064 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,274 −$2,109 -93%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,589 −$2,589 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,855 −$2,063 -72%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $2,904 −$2,904 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $3,056 −$3,056 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $463 −$343 -74%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$7 +37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $255 +$48 +19%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $334 +$758 +227%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $528 +$500 +95%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$39 +121%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Jun 12 $848 −$824 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $4,942 −$888 -18%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $3,714 +$1,274 +34%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1,227 +$417 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$9,111
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL HEROIC Academy 33¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL HEROIC Academy 33¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 67¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 60¢ $5 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $40 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $2 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $15 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $40 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $40 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $40 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 61¢ $11 0m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL HEROIC Academy 23¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 79¢ $17 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 21¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 40¢ $0 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 41¢ $13 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 40¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 40¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 23¢ $2 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 41¢ $4 2m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL HEROIC Academy 23¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL HEROIC Academy 23¢ $0 2m
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 77¢ $8 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 24¢ $24 2m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 23¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -1.1% -10.5% 49% 49% -37.6%
≤30d 64 +7.6% -2.7% 52% 52% -19.3%
≤90d 64 +7.6% -2.7% 52% 52% -19.3%
all 64 +7.6% -2.7% 52% 52% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover157.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 52% -19.3%
10% -12.0% 47% -27.0%
15% ← realistic here -20.5% 36% -34.1%
20% -28.3% 28% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,413.51 · official $6,413.51 (match) · 3500 history records