Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e19…3f79
sports · 72 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$43 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses13 / 59
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 0 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$20
14 days+$70
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$8 +78%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$3 -35%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $4 $0 -2%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $10 −$1 -9%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 06 $10 −$7 -65%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$1 -45%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$111 +2039%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) May 29 $4 −$2 -53%
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $10 −$2 -16%
CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 $0 -26%
Will Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? May 23 $4 +$2 +50%
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw? May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5 May 16 $1 +$1 +86%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $10 −$4 -41%
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? May 14 $6 −$2 -34%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score May 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? May 09 $1 $0 -5%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $2 $0 -10%
Will Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw? May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-05-08? May 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) May 07 $3 −$1 -48%
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 +$3 +27%
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 +$4 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$79
sports 43% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 25¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 32¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 31¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 27¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 27¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 28¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 28¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 29¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 29¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 14¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 14¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 13¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 17¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 17¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 15¢ $6 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 21¢ $6 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 27h
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) BUY Spurs $3 43h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over $1 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -57.6% -61.6% 9% 9% -39.6%
≤30d 37 -11.1% -19.6% 11% 11% +26.4%
≤90d 72 -25.4% -32.5% 18% 15% +5.9%
all 72 -25.4% -32.5% 18% 15% +5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.5% 15% +5.9%
10% -39.0% 12% -4.3%
15% -44.9% 10% -13.5%
20% -50.3% 7% -22.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 339 history records