Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e11…35d3
crypto · 999 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,558 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,548 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$1,548
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses530 / 538
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1068 / 999
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day142.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1068 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$936
7 days−$1,014
14 days−$1,150
30 days−$1,548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 62¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$637
culture 1% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -14.8% -22.9% 42% 41% -32.4%
≤30d 1068 -9.3% -17.9% 50% 44% -26.5%
≤90d 1068 -9.3% -17.9% 50% 44% -26.5%
all 1068 -9.3% -17.9% 50% 44% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 44% -26.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 39% -33.5%
15% -32.9% 35% -40.0%
20% -39.5% 32% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.78 · official $4.78 (match) · 3500 history records