Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e0d…9bbd
other · 152 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$283 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$283 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$96
Realized−$283
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses63 / 79
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)142 / 152
History coverage62d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 10 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$12
14 days−$2
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? Yes 85¢ 92¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03? No 97¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? No 90¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Over 90¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 78¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 82¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15? Yes 90¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 −$1 -9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$2 -18%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 09 $10 −$1 -10%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +8%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $10 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas Jun 08 $10 +$1 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $10 −$1 -11%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$3 -27%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $4 +$1 +15%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +15%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 06 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Jeff Gunter be the Republican nominee for NV-03? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 05 $10 +$1 +14%
Monaco vs. Nanterre Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $9 +$1 +11%
Will British Virgin Islands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $10 $0 +4%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $10 +$3 +28%
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $10 +$5 +45%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 02 $10 +$1 +11%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $10 +$2 +19%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 02 $107 +$4 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 31 $55 −$4 -8%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 31 $10 +$1 +9%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? May 31 $10 $0 +1%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? May 31 $10 $0 +2%
Will Fluxo W7M win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? May 30 $10 $0 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? May 30 $10 $0 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Kouame vs Tabilo May 30 $7 +$2 +27%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? May 30 $10 +$1 +8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 30 $10 +$1 +9%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $10 +$1 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $10 +$2 +15%
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-27? May 29 $10 +$2 +17%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $10 −$1 -10%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 28 $10 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 22% −$220
other 21% +$24
world 18% −$10
politics 13% −$23
finance 10% −$29
sports 8% −$11
tech 4% +$1
crypto 2% −$17
culture 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 86¢ $9 1h
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15? BUY Yes 90¢ $6 19h
Czechia leading at halftime? SELL No 98¢ $5 21h
Czechia leading at halftime? SELL No 98¢ $0 21h
Czechia leading at halftime? BUY No 85¢ $4 21h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 82¢ $7 21h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? SELL Yes 50¢ $5 30h
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 39h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 41h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $7 41h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $7 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $3 42h
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? BUY No 90¢ $3 2d
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? BUY No 90¢ $4 2d
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? BUY No 90¢ $3 2d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 76¢ $8 3d
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 98¢ $11 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 82¢ $9 3d
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 88¢ $10 3d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis SELL Sorana Cirstea 98¢ $11 3d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 98¢ $11 3d
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic SELL Iva Jovic 98¢ $11 3d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 91¢ $10 3d
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic BUY Iva Jovic 88¢ $10 3d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 88¢ $0 3d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 88¢ $10 3d
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 83¢ $9 3d
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 89¢ $10 3d
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 92¢ $10 3d
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.4% -13.5% 61% 35% -14.9%
≤30d 105 -3.3% -12.6% 54% 24% -14.3%
≤90d 142 -9.9% -18.5% 44% 20% -18.1%
all 142 -9.9% -18.5% 44% 20% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 20% -18.1%
10% -26.3% 4% -25.9%
15% -33.4% 3% -33.1%
20% -39.9% 1% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.64 · official $95.65 (match) · 772 history records