Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:33:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e05…0f40
crypto · 760 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$183 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses450 / 310
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)760 / 760
History coverage100d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 760 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$125
14 days−$126
30 days−$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 75¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 17¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 17¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 23¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$9 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$167
sports 1% −$16
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 -10.8% -19.3% 56% 29% -12.6%
≤30d 363 -8.9% -17.6% 57% 32% -12.8%
≤90d 753 -9.3% -17.9% 60% 38% -11.1%
all 760 -10.0% -18.5% 59% 38% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 38% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 28% -19.6%
15% -33.5% 11% -27.4%
20% -40.0% 4% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records