Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e01…e34a
other · 41 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$233 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$223
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses12 / 27
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)39 / 41
History coverage48d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 2 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$18
30 days−$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5) OGC Nice 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score Yes 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Paris Saint-Germain FC 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) Lille OSC 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score Yes 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 +$7 +146%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score May 18 $15 +$6 +42%
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score May 18 $25 +$12 +48%
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 May 18 $10 +$5 +48%
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 May 18 $10 +$15 +146%
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score May 18 $10 +$8 +79%
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? May 17 $15 +$7 +44%
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $25 −$25 -99%
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5) May 17 $30 −$30 -99%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $50 −$50 -99%
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $15 −$15 -99%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) May 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $45 −$45 -99%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 17 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $51 −$50 -99%
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score May 17 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $35 −$35 -99%
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026 May 14 $10 −$3 -33%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $10 +$14 +139%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? May 11 $10 $0 -4%
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? May 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw? May 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $202 +$115 +57%
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 +$33 +324%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03? May 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 2 - 1 FC Nantes? Apr 27 $5 +$39 +785%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$102
sports 30% −$118
world 1% −$3
crypto 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 21¢ $5 1h
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY Yes 40¢ $5 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $10 27h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 13d
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 42¢ $22 26d
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 0¢ $0 26d
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $10 26d
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 53¢ $25 26d
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5) BUY OGC Nice 51¢ $30 26d
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 74¢ $50 26d
Will FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 26d
FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $15 26d
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 60¢ $10 26d
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $15 26d
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 70¢ $15 26d
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 26d
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) BUY Lille OSC 44¢ $20 26d
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 69¢ $45 26d
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 67¢ $10 26d
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 26d
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 67¢ $25 26d
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) BUY Paris Saint-Germain FC 40¢ $25 26d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 62¢ $51 26d
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 40¢ $10 26d
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 61¢ $25 26d
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $35 26d
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026 SELL Yes 6¢ $7 28d
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 33% -43.7%
≤30d 25 -47.3% -52.3% 28% 28% -71.2%
≤90d 39 -16.2% -24.2% 31% 31% -33.7%
all 39 -16.2% -24.2% 31% 31% -33.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 31% -33.7%
10% -31.4% 31% -40.1%
15% -38.0% 31% -45.8%
20% -44.1% 18% -51.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.09 · official $0.09 (match) · 62 history records