Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:24:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e00…d2bf
sports · 645 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$91 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$248
Realized−$82
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses255 / 385
Est. fees paid−$109
Open positions5
Markets (closed)640 / 645
History coverage24d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day73.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 640 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days+$139
14 days−$35
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 83¢ 82¢ $72 $72 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $70 $70 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 78¢ 76¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 74¢ 74¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes $9 $2 −$7 (-78%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 43¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? No 22¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Milwaukee Brewers 17¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Under 64¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Over 61¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Yes 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Under 22¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 65¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner? No 43¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 18¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Toronto Blue Jays 64¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Over 11¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ $372 $0 −$372 (-100%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions Doosan Bears 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Birmingham: Billy Harris vs Yunchaokete Bu Billy Harris 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5 Over 15¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $195 −$79 -40%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 19? Jun 14 $6 $0 -2%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 14 $7 −$3 -36%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$1 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19? Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $17 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -9%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $12 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $52 −$3 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $20 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? Jun 14 $36 −$6 -16%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? Jun 14 $29 −$2 -6%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $63 −$7 -10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18? Jun 14 $101 −$15 -15%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 19? Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? Jun 14 $25 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 19? Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $98 +$9 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15? Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 14 $7 −$1 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $7 −$1 -7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $7 −$1 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 15? Jun 14 $14 −$1 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $53 +$6 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $26 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 17? Jun 14 $15 −$2 -13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $13 −$1 -12%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 14 $20 −$1 -5%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $33 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $68 −$1 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$79
crypto 12% +$2
other 9% −$17
world 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 18¢ $117 0m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 30¢ $2 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $3 22m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $3 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -1.9% -11.2% 36% 31% -5.9%
≤30d 640 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 35% -10.4%
≤90d 640 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 35% -10.4%
all 640 -7.9% -16.7% 40% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 35% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 30% -19.0%
15% -31.9% 24% -26.8%
20% -38.6% 20% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $248.34 · official $248.34 (match) · 2055 history records