Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:46:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0dff…f5a5
crypto · 104 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$84 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$81
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses11 / 83
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)94 / 104
History coverage79d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 10 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$5
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 55¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-42%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-49%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 3? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 3? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 05 $88 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 3? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 3? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28? May 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? May 20 $55 −$4 -7%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? May 20 $25 $0 +0%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? May 20 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 −$5 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 16 $56 −$2 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 16 $56 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Flyers vs. Hurricanes May 09 $3 +$1 +44%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04? May 09 $4 +$2 +60%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4? May 09 $61 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 4? May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4? May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 4? May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 4? May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4? May 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27? Apr 28 $66 −$1 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 24? Apr 28 $71 $0 +0%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Apr 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Wild vs. Predators Apr 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Oilers vs. Kings Apr 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Sabres vs. Senators Apr 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? Apr 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 24? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 24? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 24? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 19? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 19? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$53
world 16% −$6
other 15% −$32
sports 3% +$9
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $75 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $5 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 51¢ $3 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $88 7d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $88 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? BUY No 6¢ $1 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? BUY No 0¢ $1 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3? BUY No 1¢ $1 10d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10d
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 3? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? BUY No 0¢ $1 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28? BUY No 0¢ $1 16d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? SELL Yes 51¢ $21 23d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? SELL Yes 51¢ $16 23d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? SELL Yes 51¢ $14 23d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? BUY Yes 55¢ $55 23d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? SELL Yes 37¢ $25 24d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $11 24d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 24d
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 24d
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 27d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-67.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 14 -52.4% -56.9% 7% 7% -14.1%
≤90d 94 -64.0% -67.4% 12% 11% -15.2%
all 94 -64.0% -67.4% 12% 11% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -67.4% 11% -15.2%
10% -70.5% 11% -23.3%
15% -73.4% 11% -30.7%
20% -76.0% 9% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.95 · official $89.95 (match) · 189 history records