Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:58:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0dfa…8ed9
crypto · 470 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses219 / 250
Open positions1
Markets (closed)469 / 470
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$13
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 66¢ 98¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 418 -1.8% -11.1% 48% 48% -8.6%
≤30d 469 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 47% -9.7%
≤90d 469 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 47% -9.7%
all 469 -3.2% -12.4% 47% 47% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 47% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 46% -18.3%
15% -28.5% 44% -26.2%
20% -35.5% 39% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $9.19 (match) · 794 history records