Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:56:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0df7…1ec1
sports · 581 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$184 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$409 · open −$159
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$871
Realized+$409
Unrealized−$159
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses313 / 266
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$1,139
Open positions127
Markets (closed)579 / 581
History coverage15d
Avg bet$184
Trades / day156.4
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 127 History 579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,235
7 days−$1,846
14 days+$104
30 days+$409
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 43¢ 100¢ $115 $267 +$152 (+132%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 73¢ 79¢ $122 $131 +$9 (+8%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 69¢ 54¢ $143 $112 −$31 (-22%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 77¢ 66¢ $117 $101 −$16 (-14%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 40¢ 64¢ $50 $80 +$29 (+59%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 25¢ 30¢ $51 $62 +$11 (+22%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 36¢ 41¢ $33 $38 +$5 (+14%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 72¢ 100¢ $13 $18 +$5 (+39%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 64¢ 6¢ $152 $13 −$139 (-91%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ 30¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-31%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 34¢ 0¢ $177 $3 −$175 (-99%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 16¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+1794%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 2¢ 16¢ $0 $2 +$1 (+892%)
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 12¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1399%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 11¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1278%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 11¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1180%)
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 11¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1259%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1133%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 83¢ 85¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1157%)
Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1157%)
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Carole Monnet 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+311%)
Celtics vs. 76ers Celtics 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 9¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+909%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 12 $1 −$15 -1993%
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen Jun 12 $1 −$8 -1174%
Pistons vs. Magic Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2146%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 12 $0 −$4 -4483%
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankina Jun 12 $0 +$5 +10817%
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherif Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 12 $0 +$7 +7345%
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko Jun 12 $0 −$1 -997%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 12 $0 −$7 -5343%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $618 −$244 -39%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $66 −$51 -77%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $308 +$37 +12%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $485 −$81 -17%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $764 −$172 -22%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $472 −$52 -11%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $298 −$245 -82%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $297 −$297 -100%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $445 +$24 +6%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $361 −$151 -42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $226 −$23 -10%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $128 −$103 -80%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $77 −$57 -74%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,836 −$251 -14%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $70 +$22 +31%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $51 +$7 +14%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $36 +$4 +11%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $469 +$4 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $541 −$541 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $483 +$402 +83%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $717 +$45 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $22 +$24 +108%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $108 −$91 -84%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $77 +$49 +65%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $58 +$40 +70%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $55 −$55 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $60 +$20 +34%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1,396 +$651 +47%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $270 +$92 +34%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $227 −$227 -100%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $295 +$32 +11%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $157 −$27 -17%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $89 −$84 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$246
other 5% +$525
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $49 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 64¢ $6 7m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $22 22m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $89 24m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 36¢ $34 25m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 60¢ $33 30m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 53¢ $59 32m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 37¢ $34 35m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 33¢ $35 36m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 82¢ $8 38m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 36¢ $34 39m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 28¢ $30 40m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 87¢ $10 40m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 21¢ $4 40m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 20¢ $19 41m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $22 41m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 8¢ $0 42m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 28¢ $28 44m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 74¢ $73 44m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 63¢ $3 46m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 48¢ $2 49m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 84¢ $4 50m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 42¢ $11 52m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 67¢ $10 52m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 74¢ $8 53m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $39 53m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 54¢ $56 54m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 55¢ $3 54m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 26¢ $26 54m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 19¢ $16 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 +12.3% +1.6% 53% 47% -12.6%
≤30d 579 +13.8% +3.0% 54% 46% -9.3%
≤90d 579 +13.8% +3.0% 54% 46% -9.3%
all 579 +13.8% +3.0% 54% 46% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.0% 46% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -6.9% 36% -17.9%
15% -15.9% 27% -25.9%
20% -24.1% 19% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $871.08 · official $866.63 (match) · 3500 history records