Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0df3…b2b0
crypto · 113 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$96 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$94
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses59 / 52
Open positions2
Markets (closed)111 / 113
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day556.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$94
14 days+$94
30 days+$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 63¢ 57¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 39¢ 42¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+56%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$18 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$17 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 38% -6.3%
≤30d 111 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 38% -6.3%
≤90d 111 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 38% -6.3%
all 111 +3.1% -6.7% 53% 38% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover556.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 38% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 23% -15.3%
15% -23.8% 18% -23.5%
20% -31.3% 14% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.93 · official $23.05 (match) · 757 history records