Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:19:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0de2…2ada
crypto · 897 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$148 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$148 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses560 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)897 / 897
History coverage133d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 897 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$50
14 days−$44
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$100
sports 12% +$1
other 8% −$32
world 4% −$7
politics 1% −$4
tech 1% −$11
economics 1% +$6
weather 0% −$1
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -11.1% -19.6% 78% 13% -15.2%
≤30d 306 -8.0% -16.7% 78% 31% -13.6%
≤90d 524 -9.5% -18.1% 70% 30% -15.1%
all 897 -6.8% -15.7% 62% 35% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 35% -14.2%
10% -23.7% 21% -22.4%
15% -31.1% 14% -29.9%
20% -37.9% 10% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2798 history records