Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0ddd…4f1f
sports · 139 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$43 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized+$25
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses55 / 67
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions17
Markets (closed)122 / 139
History coverage125d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 17 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$37
14 days−$24
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Katarzyna Kawa 53¢ 64¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+21%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Suzan Lamens 38¢ 70¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+86%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 84¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5 Under 52¢ 88¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 74¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Under 37¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 49¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 52¢ 30¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-43%)
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? Sri Lanka 55¢ 30¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Toronto Tempo 39¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 7¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 33¢ 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-71%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 71¢ 4¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-94%)
Joventut vs. Valencia Joventut 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Scotland 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $3 −$1 -39%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 −$2 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $3 −$2 -86%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $3 +$1 +21%
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu Jun 14 $2 −$1 -94%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $1 +$3 +291%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $20 +$8 +39%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Who wins the tos Jun 14 $3 +$2 +82%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $2 −$1 -63%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand - Who wins the to Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $10 +$28 +276%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the t Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $13 −$7 -56%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singapore Jun 09 $11 −$10 -94%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent - Who wins the toss? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +79%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 09 $11 −$1 -6%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 06 $7 +$6 +87%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire - Who wins the toss? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Somerset - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +79%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3 +$2 +60%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +79%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$3 +101%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$3 +101%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$36
other 2% −$14
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi BUY Sri Lanka 55¢ $3 7m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 49¢ $5 9m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 58¢ $6 16m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 55¢ $4 24m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 74¢ $6 27m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Katarzyna Kawa 29¢ $4 28m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 47¢ $2 40m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 37¢ $2 48m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo SELL Atlanta Dream 39¢ $2 50m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 7¢ $1 55m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Atlanta Dream 40¢ $2 55m
Joventut vs. Valencia BUY Joventut 42¢ $2 55m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 8¢ $0 57m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 39¢ $3 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 30¢ $2 1h
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 93¢ $2 1h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 84¢ $3 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $3 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 71¢ $3 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 28¢ $2 1h
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 33¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 31¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 70¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 8¢ $0 1h
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 79¢ $3 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 15¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 BUY Under 79¢ $4 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 52¢ $3 1h
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 50¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -34.0% -40.3% 30% 28% -27.3%
≤30d 104 -14.8% -22.9% 42% 39% -11.4%
≤90d 116 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 41% -6.2%
all 122 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 43% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 43% -6.0%
10% -24.3% 40% -15.0%
15% -31.6% 34% -23.2%
20% -38.3% 31% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.28 · official $41.28 (match) · 350 history records