trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 40% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 24 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $35 | −$1 | -4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +1% |