Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0dc8…4b77
crypto · 658 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses370 / 288
Open positions0
Markets (closed)658 / 658
History coverage11d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day191.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$33
14 days−$59
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 +0.3% -9.3% 53% 36% -10.7%
≤30d 658 +0.1% -9.4% 56% 40% -10.2%
≤90d 658 +0.1% -9.4% 56% 40% -10.2%
all 658 +0.1% -9.4% 56% 40% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 40% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 21% -18.8%
15% -26.0% 9% -26.7%
20% -33.3% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2154 history records