Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T17:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0db9…5438 crypto 1061 markets active 0h ago coverage 82d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 82d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$78 (+0%) realized +$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate85%899W / 162L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day29.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$136
14 days+$135
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$19
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 510 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 1% -8.6%
≤30d 635 -1.3% -10.7% 83% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 1061 -1.9% -11.3% 85% 3% -9.4%
all 1061 -1.9% -11.3% 85% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 3% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 2% -18.1%
15% -27.5% 1% -26.0%
20% -34.6% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

82d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses899 / 162
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1061 / 1061
History coverage82d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1061 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $405 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $401 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $37 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 23 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 23 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 23 $23 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 23 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 23 $23 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $23 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $23 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $405 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $401 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records