Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T04:38:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0dab…4211 crypto 283 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$458 (-1%) realized −$458 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate49%144W / 149L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$229per market
Trades / day106.4pace
Fees−$149est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 32d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 59% −$2,498
sports 25% +$14
other 16% +$991
politics 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +16.7% +5.5% 60% 51% -8.1%
≤30d 289 +3.2% -6.6% 49% 45% -14.1%
≤90d 293 +3.7% -6.2% 49% 45% -13.6%
all 293 +3.7% -6.2% 49% 45% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 45% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 35% -21.8%
15% -23.3% 29% -29.4%
20% -30.9% 24% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$131 vs −$149 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$458
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses144 / 149
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)293 / 283
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$229
Trades / day106.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 293 Trades
no open positions (114 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $630 −$630 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 26 $150 −$150 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Jun 26 $5 −$191 -3505%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $246 −$246 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $313 −$313 -100%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 Jun 26 $178 +$22 +12%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5 Jun 26 $194 +$6 +3%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 Jun 26 $86 +$14 +16%
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5 Jun 26 $73 +$27 +38%
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 26 $223 +$152 +68%
Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime? Jun 26 $89 +$11 +12%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $219 −$35 -16%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $80 +$20 +24%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 26 $279 +$21 +8%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 Jun 26 $412 +$53 +13%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 26 $559 $0 +0%
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5) Jun 26 $79 +$21 +26%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $55 −$54 -99%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 Jun 25 $262 +$38 +14%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $121 +$79 +65%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $159 +$41 +26%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $109 −$108 -99%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $12 −$12 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $158 −$156 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $534 +$66 +12%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 25 $173 +$27 +16%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Jun 25 $177 +$23 +13%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? Jun 24 $52 +$144 +278%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $139 +$61 +44%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $68 +$32 +48%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 Jun 24 $1,128 +$82 +7%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 24 $140 −$10 -8%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 23 $951 +$170 +18%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $50 +$449 +891%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $574 −$320 -56%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $1,074 −$59 -6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $3,021 −$177 -6%
Spread: Jordan (-1.5) Jun 23 $11 −$10 -91%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal? Jun 23 $106 +$21 +20%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $840 +$560 +67%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 Jun 22 $864 +$86 +10%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? Jun 21 $520 +$223 +43%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 21 $705 −$565 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? SELL Yes 90¢ $225 46m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL Yes 22¢ $34 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 3¢ $10 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 86¢ $86 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 72¢ $73 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 89¢ $178 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 97¢ $194 1h
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 56¢ $170 1h
Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 89¢ $89 1h
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 52¢ $53 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 25¢ $41 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? SELL No 75¢ $149 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 89¢ $89 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 88¢ $88 2h
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 92¢ $92 3h
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 84¢ $55 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Netherlands 63¢ $18 4h
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 88¢ $265 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Netherlands 93¢ $137 4h
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $279 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Netherlands 93¢ $100 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Netherlands 93¢ $100 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Netherlands 93¢ $55 4h
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 54¢ $55 4h
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $80 4h
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5) BUY Tunisia 79¢ $79 5h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Netherlands 93¢ $559 5h
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 60¢ $121 25h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $109 25h
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $262 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records