trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +28.3% | +16.1% | 67% | 67% | +26.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +28.3% | +16.1% | 67% | 67% | +26.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -52.9% | -57.4% | 20% | 20% | +15.9% |
| all | 18 | -41.2% | -46.8% | 28% | 28% | +14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.8% | 28% | +14.7% |
| 10% | -51.9% | 17% | +3.7% |
| 15% | -56.6% | 17% | -6.3% |
| 20% | -60.8% | 17% | -15.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 19¢ | $1,082 | $539 | −$542 (-50%) |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $250 | $249 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $250 | $62 | −$188 (-75%) |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $95 | $55 | −$40 (-42%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 43¢ | 10¢ | $194 | $42 | −$152 (-78%) |
| Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $6,292 | +$942 | +15% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $4,511 | −$249 | -6% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $10,403 | +$7,838 | +75% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 17 | $3,339 | −$461 | -14% |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | May 11 | $325 | −$325 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 11 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 18 | $191 | −$191 | -100% |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 02 | $214 | −$214 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Apr 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will England win? | Mar 15 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win? | Mar 15 | $281 | −$281 | -100% |
| Will France win? | Mar 15 | $1,543 | +$337 | +22% |
| Will Wales win? | Mar 14 | $836 | +$967 | +116% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Mar 12 | $385 | −$56 | -14% |
| Will Wales win? | Mar 08 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Ireland win? | Mar 07 | $153 | −$153 | -100% |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? | Mar 04 | $369 | +$236 | +64% |