Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0da7…69f9
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$12 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$7 +351%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -11.0% -19.5% 40% 40% +9.5%
≤30d 8 +32.6% +20.0% 50% 50% +36.9%
≤90d 8 +32.6% +20.0% 50% 50% +36.9%
all 8 +32.6% +20.0% 50% 50% +36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +20.0% 50% +36.9%
10% +8.5% 50% +23.8%
15% -2.0% 50% +11.8%
20% -11.6% 50% +0.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records