Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0da4…4b2d
crypto · 25 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses7 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day84.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$13
other 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -11.4% -19.9% 28% 8% -15.3%
≤30d 25 -11.4% -19.9% 28% 8% -15.3%
≤90d 25 -11.4% -19.9% 28% 8% -15.3%
all 25 -11.4% -19.9% 28% 8% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 8% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 8% -23.4%
15% -34.5% 4% -30.8%
20% -41.0% 4% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 102 history records