Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d9e…f53a
sports · 1383 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$367 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$366 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$366
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses543 / 836
Est. fees paid−$68
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1379 / 1383
History coverage36d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 1379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$53
14 days+$23
30 days−$263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -81%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +145%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6 +$9 +150%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$3 +161%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$4 +121%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +106%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 +$14 +226%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$24 +394%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$19 +173%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $10 −$4 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $7 −$5 -64%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 +$22 +74%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 +$8 +121%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $33 +$17 +53%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +108%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $2 +$3 +140%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $6 +$3 +47%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $11 +$4 +37%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$170
crypto 10% −$161
other 7% −$36
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $12 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $7 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $15 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $5 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $5 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $9 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 8h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $5 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $7 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $1 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $8 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 66¢ $5 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $5 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 44¢ $3 9h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 41¢ $1 10h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 15h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $20 15h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $4 15h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $11 15h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $30 15h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $2 16h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 16h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $5 17h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -5.0% -14.0% 40% 37% -3.4%
≤30d 1050 -14.1% -22.2% 37% 33% -18.5%
≤90d 1379 -13.3% -21.5% 39% 35% -17.7%
all 1379 -13.3% -21.5% 39% 35% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 35% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 30% -25.6%
15% -35.9% 27% -32.8%
20% -42.2% 21% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.36 · official $3.36 (match) · 3500 history records