Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d96…3f2f
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$104
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 74¢ $50 $54 +$5 (+10%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $52 −$49 -94%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 +$9 +18%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 67% -36.1%
≤30d 3 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 67% -36.1%
≤90d 3 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 67% -36.1%
all 3 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 67% -36.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 67% -36.1%
10% -20.5% 33% -42.2%
15% -28.2% 33% -47.8%
20% -35.2% 33% -52.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.86 · official $103.80 (match) · 9 history records