trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +165% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 18 | $12 | +$27 | +233% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 17 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 17 | $5 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico | Mar 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98t | Mar 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -46.9% | -52.0% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -46.9% | -52.0% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 50% | 50% | +72.2% |
| all | 11 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 36% | 36% | +39.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.2% | 36% | +39.2% |
| 10% | -31.5% | 36% | +25.9% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 36% | +13.7% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 27% | +2.6% |