Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:38:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0d89…4fc5 crypto 836 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (120 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate73%610W / 226L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day119.8pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$752
7 days−$751
14 days−$149
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$125
other 3% +$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (120 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 -16.1% -24.1% 61% 47% -20.0%
≤30d 836 +1.5% -8.2% 73% 58% -9.8%
≤90d 836 +1.5% -8.2% 73% 58% -9.8%
all 836 +1.5% -8.2% 73% 58% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 58% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 35% -18.4%
15% -25.0% 15% -26.3%
20% -32.3% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$17 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses610 / 226
Open positions0
Markets (closed)836 / 836
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day119.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 836 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$11 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$6 -28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $43 +$13 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$19 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$5 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$17 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $46 +$19 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -91%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $59 +$17 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$3 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$9 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records