Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:00:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0d7d…15c0 crypto 368 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (201 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$441 (+2%) realized +$441 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate94%345W / 23L
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day201.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$421
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (201 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 +2.7% -7.1% 94% 32% -7.4%
≤30d 368 +2.7% -7.1% 94% 32% -7.4%
≤90d 368 +2.7% -7.1% 94% 32% -7.4%
all 368 +2.7% -7.1% 94% 32% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover201.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 32% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 5% -16.3%
15% -24.1% 1% -24.4%
20% -31.5% 0% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$50 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.37 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$441
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses345 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage2d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day201.3
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 368 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$6 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$7 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $102 +$38 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$10 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$8 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$7 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 735 history records