trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +37.3% | +24.2% | 83% | 83% | +31.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +28.5% | +16.2% | 75% | 75% | +27.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +20.9% | +9.4% | 71% | 71% | +10.5% |
| all | 21 | +26.7% | +14.7% | 71% | 71% | +15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.7% | 71% | +15.4% |
| 10% | +3.7% | 67% | +4.4% |
| 15% | -6.3% | 57% | -5.7% |
| 20% | -15.5% | 48% | -15.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $153 | +$199 | +130% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $203 | +$261 | +128% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 22 | $1,012 | +$289 | +29% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $403 | +$90 | +22% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $304 | +$196 | +65% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $304 | +$256 | +84% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $202 | +$120 | +60% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $101 | +$34 | +34% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $375 | +$145 | +39% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$115 | +57% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$168 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $289 | +$122 | +42% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14? | May 14 | $632 | −$622 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2025-11-18? | Nov 18 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election bet | Nov 05 | $499 | +$334 | +67% |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers | Oct 31 | $180 | +$319 | +178% |
| Vikings vs. Chargers | Oct 29 | $111 | +$68 | +61% |