Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:52:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d76…517c
crypto · 549 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$408 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$408 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$408
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses308 / 241
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)549 / 549
History coverage54d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 549 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$200
7 days+$431
14 days+$208
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$15 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$23 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$25 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$9 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$34 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$4 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$9 +30%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $54 +$39 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $86 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $83 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $82 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $34 −$15 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$9 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $63 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $62 +$33 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$19 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $18 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$4 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$14 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $48 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$81
sports 11% −$68
other 8% −$253
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $67 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $42 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $27 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $32 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $24 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $19 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $40 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $30 43h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 44h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 +6.2% -3.9% 72% 56% -1.6%
≤30d 368 -6.3% -15.2% 62% 46% -10.4%
≤90d 549 -5.5% -14.5% 56% 45% -11.9%
all 549 -5.5% -14.5% 56% 45% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 45% -11.9%
10% -22.7% 36% -20.3%
15% -30.1% 25% -28.0%
20% -37.0% 17% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1169 history records