Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d70…1048
sports · 39 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$74 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized+$74
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses17 / 14
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions8
Markets (closed)31 / 39
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 8 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$74
14 days+$74
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-11%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 +$8 +192%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6 +$6 +91%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$15 +98%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$6 +185%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +66%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +96%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$8 +249%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 +$32 +148%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% −$17
other 24% +$44
sports 21% +$45
tech 5% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +16.3% +5.2% 55% 52% +19.0%
≤30d 31 +16.3% +5.2% 55% 52% +19.0%
≤90d 31 +16.3% +5.2% 55% 52% +19.0%
all 31 +16.3% +5.2% 55% 52% +19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.2% 52% +19.0%
10% ← realistic here -4.8% 42% +7.6%
15% -14.0% 42% -2.8%
20% -22.5% 39% -12.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.97 · official $46.97 (match) · 99 history records