Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d6e…be28
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$27 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage3d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 28¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +106%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $58 +$4 +8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 +$15 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$15
other 44% +$48
crypto 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -7.9% -16.7% 60% 40% +7.0%
≤30d 5 -7.9% -16.7% 60% 40% +7.0%
≤90d 5 -7.9% -16.7% 60% 40% +7.0%
all 5 -7.9% -16.7% 60% 40% +7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 40% +7.0%
10% -24.6% 40% -3.2%
15% -31.9% 40% -12.6%
20% -38.6% 20% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records