trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Up | 28¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$32 | +106% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -97% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $58 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $63 | 1h |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 1¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 31¢ | $20 | 2h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $30 | 2h |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | SELL Under | 51¢ | $26 | 24h |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | SELL Under | 75¢ | $36 | 24h |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | BUY Under | 57¢ | $58 | 25h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 69¢ | $35 | 45h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY Up | 28¢ | $5 | 3d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 60% | 40% | +7.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 60% | 40% | +7.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 60% | 40% | +7.0% |
| all | 5 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 60% | 40% | +7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.7% | 40% | +7.0% |
| 10% | -24.6% | 40% | -3.2% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 40% | -12.6% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 20% | -21.2% |