Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d52…a803
crypto · 178 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses75 / 99
Open positions4
Markets (closed)174 / 178
History coverage136d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 14¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Apr 15 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Apr 15 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Apr 15 $12 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 15 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 13 $18 −$13 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 13 $17 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 13 $18 −$11 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Apr 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Apr 13 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$12
finance 6% +$49
politics 2% −$3
sports 2% −$47
other 2% −$12
economics 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 33m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +11.2% +0.6% 64% 58% +4.8%
≤30d 36 +11.2% +0.6% 64% 58% +4.8%
≤90d 143 -10.9% -19.4% 43% 41% -8.6%
all 174 -13.3% -21.6% 43% 40% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 40% -9.5%
10% -29.1% 33% -18.2%
15% -35.9% 29% -26.1%
20% -42.2% 24% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.54 · official $20.68 (match) · 742 history records