trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 16 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 07 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 20 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 17 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 09 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? | Apr 13 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 10 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 02 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 23 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 17 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $204 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 11 | $102 | $0 | +0% |