Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d46…b09b
sports · 612 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,888 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,928 · open −$533
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$347
Realized−$10,928
Unrealized−$533
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses297 / 314
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$766
Open positions1
Markets (closed)611 / 612
History coverage228d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$250
7 days−$1,742
14 days−$5,549
30 days−$3,899
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $880 $347 −$533 (-61%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $2,409 −$267 -11%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$10 +52%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $16 +$4 +29%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$10 +126%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +158%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$16 -90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$4 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$7 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$6 -58%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolo Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang Jun 11 $22 −$21 -95%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-12.5) Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Jun 11 $32 −$32 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
Set Handicap: Faria (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5) Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschul Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Wu vs. Giron: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$9,705
other 6% −$1,330
weather 2% −$345
politics 0% −$66
culture 0% −$20
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $863 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $863 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $29 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $20 5h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 100¢ $20 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 12h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 77¢ $16 12h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Monte 100¢ $18 12h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 44¢ $4 15h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 44¢ $1 15h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 44¢ $2 15h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 44¢ $1 15h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $8 15h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $6 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $6 18h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $5 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 6¢ $2 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $17 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $0 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $16 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ $12 42h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $14 42h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $7 43h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 22¢ $4 43h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $10 44h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2d
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup SELL Yes 80¢ $22 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -57.5% -61.6% 22% 22% -43.1%
≤30d 212 -12.4% -20.7% 47% 46% -21.6%
≤90d 535 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 47% -27.4%
all 611 -2.3% -11.6% 49% 47% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 47% -22.1%
10% -20.0% 44% -29.5%
15% -27.8% 39% -36.3%
20% -34.8% 33% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $347.44 · official $347.44 (match) · 1708 history records