Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d3b…72ac
crypto · 1691 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1588 / 103
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1691 / 1691
History coverage128d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1691 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$4
14 days+$2
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -0.9% -10.4% 94% 16% -10.4%
≤30d 349 +2.1% -7.6% 96% 16% -7.6%
≤90d 1132 +0.4% -9.1% 95% 19% -9.3%
all 1691 +0.0% -9.5% 94% 21% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 21% -10.1%
10% -18.2% 1% -18.7%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records