Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d2d…7ff5
sports · 214 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$7,369 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,887 · open +$3,310
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$40,873
Realized+$2,887
Unrealized+$3,310
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses51 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$753
Open positions493
Markets (closed)74 / 214
History coverage1d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day3212.0
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 493 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,887
7 days+$2,887
14 days+$2,887
30 days+$2,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 52¢ $1,791 $1,852 +$61 (+3%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ 78¢ $751 $864 +$112 (+15%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $859 $842 −$17 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $774 $786 +$13 (+2%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 78¢ $700 $712 +$12 (+2%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 89¢ 90¢ $647 $654 +$7 (+1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 66¢ 66¢ $647 $643 −$4 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 80¢ $24 $621 +$597 (+2476%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 80¢ 81¢ $572 $583 +$11 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 55¢ 44¢ $653 $513 −$140 (-21%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 80¢ $34 $507 +$473 (+1382%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 69¢ 69¢ $412 $415 +$3 (+1%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ 36¢ $500 $360 −$140 (-28%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 86¢ 86¢ $354 $357 +$3 (+1%)
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 36¢ $307 $350 +$43 (+14%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50¢ $21 $346 +$325 (+1516%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $333 $336 +$3 (+1%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) New York Mets 61¢ 64¢ $322 $333 +$11 (+3%)
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 69¢ 68¢ $336 $329 −$7 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 89¢ $321 $323 +$2 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 67¢ $234 $322 +$88 (+37%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 56¢ 54¢ $339 $321 −$18 (-5%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 59¢ 68¢ $271 $316 +$45 (+17%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $302 $301 −$1 (-0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $298 $299 +$2 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Stefano D'agostino vs Carlos Giraldi Jun 12 $108 +$33 +31%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$29 +144%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $85 −$10 -11%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1,323 +$251 +19%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $642 −$88 -14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,611 +$122 +5%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2,789 +$38 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $178 +$71 +40%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Patrik Meszaros vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Jun 12 $46 +$4 +9%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,200 +$33 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $61 −$8 -14%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $135 +$57 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $774 +$108 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,072 −$596 -56%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $68 +$12 +17%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $90 −$42 -46%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $46 +$3 +8%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $92 +$19 +21%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $1 +$28 +3233%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1,997 −$195 -10%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu Jun 12 $145 +$12 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $442 +$123 +28%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $16 +$13 +86%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
ITF kiseljak: Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Kirill Kivattsev Jun 12 $28 +$22 +82%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $67 +$34 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$25 -78%
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 12 $41 +$8 +20%
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $155 −$116 -75%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $361 +$68 +19%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $123 −$17 -14%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $605 +$23 +4%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $99 −$5 -5%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $57 −$8 -14%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $212 +$27 +13%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $168 −$13 -8%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $93 +$33 +35%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2,868 +$446 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $57 +$268 +468%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa Jun 12 $18 −$6 -32%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $83 −$13 -15%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $31 +$49 +158%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $26 −$23 -91%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Oh Jun 12 $10 +$39 +392%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 12 $43 +$60 +138%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$2,627
other 32% +$3,571
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 44¢ $0 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 58¢ $9 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 58¢ $9 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 58¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 57¢ $11 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 49¢ $2 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 49¢ $1 1m
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez BUY Luna Vujovic 90¢ $5 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 50¢ $8 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $8 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 51¢ $10 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 52¢ $10 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $1 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $5 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $4 1m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 52¢ $10 2m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 63¢ $47 2m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 64¢ $12 2m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 30¢ $2 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Harriet Dart 51¢ $10 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina SELL Zdenek Kolar 70¢ $5 4m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Arthur Gea 21¢ $10 4m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 35¢ $7 4m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 30¢ $0 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 68¢ $68 5m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 70¢ $3 6m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 61¢ $3 6m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 61¢ $3 6m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 61¢ $61 6m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $4 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+85.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +104.5% +85.0% 69% 51% -2.4%
≤30d 74 +104.5% +85.0% 69% 51% -2.4%
≤90d 74 +104.5% +85.0% 69% 51% -2.4%
all 74 +104.5% +85.0% 69% 51% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3212.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +85.0% 51% -2.4%
10% ← realistic here +67.3% 36% -11.8%
15% +51.1% 30% -20.3%
20% +36.3% 22% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40,872.92 · official $42,187.34 · 3500 history records