Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d10…780b
sports · 1648 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$637 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$633 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized+$633
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses872 / 879
Est. fees paid−$132
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1751 / 1648
History coverage14d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day156.8
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 13 History 1751 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$819
7 days−$306
14 days+$633
30 days+$633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Martina Capurro Taborda 22¢ 80¢ $5 $18 +$13 (+264%)
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Team Liquid 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Spread: Stroemsgodset IF (-1.5) Stroemsgodset IF 57¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 55¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Spread: Odds BK (-1.5) Odds BK 33¢ 35¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Raufoss IL: O/U 2.5 Over 72¢ 74¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs TDK 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 76¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Raufoss IL (-1.5) Stroemsgodset IF 95¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Set Handicap: Petrovic (-1.5) vs Best (+1.5) Best 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
ITF Los Angeles: Veronica Miroshnichenko vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Petrovic vs. Best: Match O/U 21.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Set Handicap: Kicker (-1.5) vs Coria (+1.5) Coria 60¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Spread: Egersunds IK (-2.5) Stabaek IF 94¢ 64¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Collignon vs. Agut: Match O/U 23.5 Under 58¢ 29¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 75¢ 36¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
ITF Estepona: Alice Gillan vs Mariam Bolkvadze Mariam Bolkvadze 77¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-35%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Michael Zheng 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Raptors 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Polina Kudermetova vs. Viktoriya Tomova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Tallon Griekspoor 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 4.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season ZeroZone Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5) Fernandez 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Estepona: Alice Gillan vs Mariam Bolkvadze Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Polina Kudermetova vs. Viktoriya Tomova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-04-27? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs. Mika Brunold: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Campinas: Juan Bautista Torres vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Osaka Evessa vs. SeaHorses Mikawa Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Mega Mozzart vs. Krka Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Riedi (-1.5) vs Herbert (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Galfi (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Bol: Valentina Ivanov vs Xinran Sun Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Pau FC vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Syracuse Crunch Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguet Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Fukui: Ayaho Okude vs Kurumi Tamura Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$1,629
other 3% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 75¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY TDK 62¢ $5 1h
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) BUY Team Liquid 81¢ $5 1h
Spread: Odds BK (-1.5) BUY Odds BK 33¢ $5 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 22¢ $5 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 67¢ $5 2h
Collignon vs. Agut: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 2h
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 90¢ $5 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 75¢ $5 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 64¢ $5 3h
Set Handicap: Preston (-1.5) vs Selekhmeteva (+1.5) BUY Preston 42¢ $5 3h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 20¢ $5 4h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 54¢ $5 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 38¢ $5 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 4h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 67¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 36¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 66¢ $5 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 55¢ $5 5h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 64¢ $5 5h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 57¢ $5 5h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 76¢ $5 6h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 91¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 95¢ $5 6h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 27¢ $5 7h
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) BUY Galions 53¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 81¢ $5 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 43¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 73¢ $5 7h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 32¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1085 -25.5% -32.6% 40% 32% -14.5%
≤30d 1751 -4.6% -13.7% 50% 39% -3.9%
≤90d 1751 -4.6% -13.7% 50% 39% -3.9%
all 1751 -4.6% -13.7% 50% 39% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 39% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 32% -13.1%
15% -29.5% 26% -21.5%
20% -36.4% 20% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.66 · official $89.60 (match) · 3500 history records