trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 17% | 8% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 17% | 8% | -10.4% |
| all | 20 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 40% | 5% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.4% | 5% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -26.2% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -33.3% | 0% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -39.9% | 0% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | −$2 | -6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $7 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 21 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23? | May 23 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 20 | May 21 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 19 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Anderlecht vs. Fenerbahce | Mar 04 | $10 | $0 | +5% |