Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d08…9e62
other · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses4 / 26
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)30 / 32
History coverage65d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 2 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $13 −$1 -4%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 $0 -6%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $34 +$6 +17%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $3 $0 -4%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $9 −$1 -6%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 09 $7 −$1 -9%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +41%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $3 $0 -3%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $6 $0 -5%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $9 −$3 -34%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 29 $3 $0 -4%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $3 $0 -7%
Trump out as President before GTA VI? May 27 $6 $0 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22? May 22 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21? May 22 $13 $0 +0%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $5 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $5 $0 -6%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 19 $6 −$1 -12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? May 19 $36 −$2 -5%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? May 18 $5 $0 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18? May 18 $6 $0 -0%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? May 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13? May 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 11 $23 −$1 -4%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $2 $0 -6%
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 May 04 $5 $0 -5%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 09 $5 +$4 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% $0
crypto 32% $0
sports 20% −$3
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 17m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $6 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL No 86¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 87¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $7 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $22 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $15 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $3 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $3 29h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $5 29h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 30h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 20¢ $6 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 3d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $7 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $3 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 68¢ $3 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $4 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -8.0% -16.8% 22% 22% -6.5%
≤30d 24 -9.8% -18.4% 12% 8% -11.7%
≤90d 30 -8.0% -16.8% 13% 10% -10.8%
all 30 -8.0% -16.8% 13% 10% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 10% -10.8%
10% -24.8% 7% -19.3%
15% -32.0% 7% -27.1%
20% -38.7% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.72 · official $4.72 (match) · 118 history records