trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 88% | 25% | -22.8% |
| all | 25 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 76% | 28% | -17.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 28% | -17.6% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 16% | -25.4% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 12% | -32.6% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 12% | -39.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Jun 02 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $333 | −$326 | -98% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $259 | +$75 | +29% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $218 | +$42 | +19% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $217 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | Apr 08 | $214 | +$3 | +1% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 30 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 28 | $1,745 | −$1,745 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Feb 27 | $1,756 | +$45 | +3% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 24 | $1,756 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | Feb 17 | $62 | +$38 | +61% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 17 | $1,054 | +$602 | +57% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner | Feb 14 | $700 | +$133 | +19% |
| Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 05 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Feb 05 | $151 | +$193 | +127% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | Feb 02 | $81 | −$81 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Jan 31 | $1,162 | −$273 | -24% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | Jan 24 | $996 | +$167 | +17% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 9? | Jan 10 | $995 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $64 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $139 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $715 | +$1 | +0% |