Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cff…be62
crypto · 942 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$133 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open −$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$295
Realized−$102
Unrealized−$48
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses746 / 187
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions9
Markets (closed)933 / 942
History coverage7d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day201.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 9 History 933 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$102
14 days−$102
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 82¢ 64¢ $168 $132 −$36 (-21%)
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $67 $68 +$1 (+1%)
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 62¢ $32 $26 −$6 (-19%)
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 43¢ 40¢ $20 $18 −$1 (-6%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-2%)
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? No 36¢ 26¢ $22 $16 −$6 (-26%)
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? No 56¢ 52¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Down 44¢ 55¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+24%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 80¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $353 −$2 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $38 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $75 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$11 +222%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $335 −$7 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $422 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$22
world 14% −$71
other 10% −$59
sports 7% −$26
economics 0% −$12
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $351 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 21m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 88¢ $176 37m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 88¢ $176 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 50m
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 31¢ $45 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 2h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 75¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 78¢ $39 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 933 +0.2% -9.4% 80% 17% -9.9%
≤30d 933 +0.2% -9.4% 80% 17% -9.9%
≤90d 933 +0.2% -9.4% 80% 17% -9.9%
all 933 +0.2% -9.4% 80% 17% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover201.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 17% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 13% -18.5%
15% -26.0% 11% -26.4%
20% -33.2% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $295.31 · official $295.14 (match) · 2333 history records