Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cfe…7290
crypto · 424 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses216 / 208
Open positions0
Markets (closed)424 / 424
History coverage8d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day130.6
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days+$0
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$10 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 -3.1% -12.3% 50% 45% -9.4%
≤30d 424 -2.8% -12.1% 51% 45% -8.9%
≤90d 424 -2.8% -12.1% 51% 45% -8.9%
all 424 -2.8% -12.1% 51% 45% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 45% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 40% -17.6%
15% -28.2% 33% -25.6%
20% -35.2% 26% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.38 · official $0.00 (match) · 1442 history records